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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.49vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+5.12vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+6.09vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+5.82vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.07vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+2.70vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82+2.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.00vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.19-1.44vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.15vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.12-2.93vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.73-1.99vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.71vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.36-3.19vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.49-4.33vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.64-5.95vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.25-5.17vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.52-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.12Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.82College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.7Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.21Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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7.56Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.29SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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10.67Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.05Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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11.83Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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10.35Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nevin Snow | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| William Macdonald | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Mary Hall | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Raul Rios | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| Nick Valente | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 18.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% |
| Lucas Adams | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.