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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+8.05vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+7.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+8.36vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+2.21vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.52+5.38vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.65+3.95vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+3.67vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.53vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.98vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.64+0.27vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.36-3.93vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.36-0.45vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.19-5.52vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-5.11vs Predicted
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15Boston College4.12-7.12vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.25-4.26vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.95-8.23vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.05-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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6.21Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.38Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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9.95College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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10.67Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Naval Academy3.740.0%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.27Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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7.07Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.48Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.89Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.88Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.74Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.34SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% |
| Graham Landy | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% |
| Mary Hall | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 12.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Raul Rios | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 14.1% |
| William Macdonald | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Nick Valente | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.