← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.82+8.40vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+9.44vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.73+6.89vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.00vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.64+4.89vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.65+3.96vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College3.52+3.51vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+0.80vs Predicted
-
9Yale University4.55-2.91vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University4.19-2.11vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University4.36-3.95vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.49-0.99vs Predicted
-
13Boston College4.12-5.23vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-4.75vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University3.95-6.35vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University3.25-4.23vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin3.36-5.68vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College3.05-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.4Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
11.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
-
9.89Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
-
8.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.89Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
-
9.96College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
-
10.51Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
-
8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
6.09Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
7.89Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
7.05Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
11.01Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
-
7.77Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
9.25U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
8.65Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
11.77Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
-
11.32University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
-
12.3SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Graham Landy | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% |
| Raul Rios | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Mary Hall | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| William Macdonald | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 13.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% |
| Nick Valente | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.