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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.63vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.81+3.30vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+6.71vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.31+2.69vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+4.21vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University0.53+4.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-1.87vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.64+1.26vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+0.75vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.66-0.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.03+0.51vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.07-1.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.98-6.30vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.36+0.56vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-2.44vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California0.90-8.51vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.54-1.12vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.87-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Stanford University2.8932.7%1st Place
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5.3Western Washington University1.8111.1%1st Place
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9.71University of California at Santa Cruz0.862.7%1st Place
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6.69University of Hawaii1.316.5%1st Place
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9.21California Poly Maritime Academy0.533.1%1st Place
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10.57San Diego State University0.532.5%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.3511.8%1st Place
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9.26University of Washington0.643.6%1st Place
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9.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.0%1st Place
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9.53Arizona State University0.662.8%1st Place
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11.51University of California at San Diego0.031.8%1st Place
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10.12University of California at Davis0.073.2%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Berkeley0.987.1%1st Place
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14.56University of California at Irvine-0.360.7%1st Place
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12.56University of California at Los Angeles-0.341.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Southern California0.905.1%1st Place
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15.88California State University Channel Islands-1.540.5%1st Place
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14.41University of California at San Diego-0.870.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 32.7% | 25.2% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Everett McAvoy | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Jasper Reid | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Will Cornell | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 24.1% | 20.4% |
| Rigel Mummers | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 6.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brent Lin | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 45.6% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.