← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College3.52+9.70vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.55+4.34vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.49+7.99vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.48vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.95+3.56vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University4.36+0.92vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.73+2.65vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.06vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University3.82+0.19vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.38vs Predicted
-
11Boston College4.12-2.88vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston3.65-1.65vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University4.19-5.48vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin3.36-3.15vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College3.05-2.57vs Predicted
-
16Brown University3.64-5.92vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-8.01vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University3.25-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.7Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
-
6.34Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
10.99Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
-
9.48U. S. Naval Academy3.740.0%1st Place
-
8.56Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
6.92Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
9.65Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
7.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.19Old Dominion University3.820.0%1st Place
-
11.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
-
8.12Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
10.35College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
-
7.52Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
10.85University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
-
12.43SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
10.08Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
-
8.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
11.5Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Croteau | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% |
| Graham Landy | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% |
| Mary Hall | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% |
| William Macdonald | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% |
| Raul Rios | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% |
| Nick Valente | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 17.7% |
| Lucas Adams | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.