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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.95+7.98vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+7.14vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+3.42vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+7.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.73+4.60vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.19+1.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.67vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.65+1.97vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.36-2.10vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.54vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.82-1.57vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.52-1.07vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.12-5.15vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.05-1.79vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.64-4.96vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-5.32vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.36-5.59vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.49-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.0%1st Place
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6.42Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.71Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Naval Academy3.740.0%1st Place
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9.97College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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6.9Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.43Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.93Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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7.85Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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12.21SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.04Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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10.68Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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10.54Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| Graham Landy | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Mary Hall | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Will Holz | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% |
| Raul Rios | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Nick Valente | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.