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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+7.23vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+7.97vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+3.44vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+5.91vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.52+5.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.68vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.19+0.69vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.64+2.04vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82+0.20vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.40vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.67vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-2.75vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.52-2.61vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.36-7.22vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.95-6.32vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.05-3.34vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.36-5.64vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.49-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
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6.44Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.91College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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10.45Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.69Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.04Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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9.2Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.39Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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6.78Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.68Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.66SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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10.54Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% |
| Graham Landy | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.1% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% |
| Mary Hall | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% |
| Will Holz | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.5% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| William Macdonald | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Nick Valente | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 19.6% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.