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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+9.38vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.19+4.82vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+5.82vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+3.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.59vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.25+4.66vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.01vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.36-2.18vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-1.81vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.82-1.69vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-2.76vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.64-3.15vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.43-3.40vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.05-2.57vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-5.39vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.36-5.70vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.73-8.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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7.82Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.82College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.66Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.82Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.19Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.31Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.85Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.6Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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12.43SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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11.3University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| William Macdonald | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Mary Hall | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Raul Rios | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% |
| Nick Valente | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 18.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.