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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.49vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+6.32vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.81vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+2.88vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.65+4.83vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82+3.20vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.43+3.89vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95+0.61vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.19-1.47vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.25+1.93vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.12-2.93vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.54vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-4.29vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.64-4.37vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.05-2.63vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-5.43vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.36-5.71vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.73-8.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Naval Academy3.740.0%1st Place
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6.88Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.83College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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9.2Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.89Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.53Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.93Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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8.07Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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8.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.63Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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12.37SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.57Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Mary Hall | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% |
| William Macdonald | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.4% |
| Raul Rios | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Nick Valente | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 17.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.