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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+7.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+6.17vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.36+8.33vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+4.49vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.41vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.19+1.52vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-0.16vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.82+0.98vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.05+3.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.24vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.52-0.45vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.65-1.73vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.43-2.34vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-5.58vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.55-8.94vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.73-6.43vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.25-5.28vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.27-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.33University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.52Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.84Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.98Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.35SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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11.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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10.55Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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10.27College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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10.66Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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8.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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6.06Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
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11.72Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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11.31Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% |
| William Macdonald | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Mary Hall | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Nick Valente | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 16.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Graham Landy | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.7% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.