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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+6.17vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.30vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.49vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+2.90vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82+3.21vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+1.82vs Predicted
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8Stanford University4.19-0.45vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.65+0.97vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.73-0.11vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.36+0.30vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.55vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.43-2.26vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.64-4.37vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.25-3.38vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.95-7.29vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.52-6.37vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.05-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.35Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.21Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.55Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.97College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.3University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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11.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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10.74Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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9.63Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.62Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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8.71Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.63Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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12.25SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Graham Landy | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Mary Hall | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| Raul Rios | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% |
| William Macdonald | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% |
| Nick Valente | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.