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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+8.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+6.24vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+8.36vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.05+8.32vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36+1.92vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82+3.20vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-0.83vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.65+1.86vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.43+1.92vs Predicted
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10Stanford University4.19-2.13vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.12-2.99vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.03vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.25-1.50vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.52-3.84vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.36-3.86vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.95-7.30vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.73-7.17vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.64-8.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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12.32SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.92Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.2Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.17Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.86College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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10.92Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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7.87Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.01Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Naval Academy3.740.0%1st Place
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11.5Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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10.16Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.7Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.77Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% |
| Nick Valente | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 19.3% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Graham Landy | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Marek Zaleski | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Raul Rios | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% |
| Mary Hall | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% |
| William Macdonald | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.