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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+7.11vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.05+10.75vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+5.91vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+2.87vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+4.14vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.55+0.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.54vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.65+1.84vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.09vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.25+1.95vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.52-0.34vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-2.79vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.43-2.31vs Predicted
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14Stanford University4.19-6.63vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.64-5.07vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.73-6.36vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.36-5.73vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-10.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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12.75SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.91Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.87Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.14Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.2Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.84College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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11.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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11.95Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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10.66Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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9.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.69Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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7.37Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.93Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Nick Valente | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 18.3% |
| William Macdonald | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Graham Landy | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mary Hall | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 14.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.