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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+7.29vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.34vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+6.06vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.19+3.56vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36+1.88vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.54vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95+1.60vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52+2.35vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.27+2.57vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.05+2.71vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.12-2.94vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-0.76vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.82-3.98vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.65-4.44vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.73-5.47vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-5.46vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.36-5.72vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.34Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.0%1st Place
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7.56Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.88Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.6Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.35Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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11.57Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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12.71SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.06Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.24Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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9.02Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.56College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.54Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Graham Landy | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Mary Hall | 6.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% |
| William Macdonald | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% |
| Will Holz | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% |
| Nick Valente | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 19.4% |
| Raul Rios | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Marek Zaleski | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Michael Croteau | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.