← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College4.12+7.13vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University4.36+5.05vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin3.36+8.37vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.47vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.01vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.65+3.93vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+1.79vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.95+0.53vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University3.73+0.56vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College3.05+2.65vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University3.82-1.68vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.27-0.05vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University3.52-2.72vs Predicted
-
14Yale University4.55-8.00vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-4.01vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University4.19-8.32vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College3.52-6.37vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University3.43-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.13Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
7.05Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
11.37University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
-
9.47U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.93College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
8.53Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
9.56Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
-
12.65SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
9.32Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
11.95Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
-
10.28Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
-
6.0Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
10.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
-
7.68Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
10.63Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
-
10.68Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% |
| Mary Hall | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| William Macdonald | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Nick Valente | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 19.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% |
| Nathan Allman | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% |
| Will Holz | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% |
| Graham Landy | 11.8% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.