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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+11.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.27+9.84vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+6.85vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+2.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.00vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.65+3.86vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.19+0.60vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12-0.16vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.52+1.49vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.20vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.52-0.42vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-0.77vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University4.36-6.18vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-5.21vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-6.28vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.95-7.32vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.36-5.70vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.58SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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11.84Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
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6.15Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.86College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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7.6Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.84Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.49Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.58Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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11.23Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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6.82Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.79Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.68Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.3University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 2.8% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 20.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 11.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Graham Landy | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
| Raul Rios | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Will Holz | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% |
| Mary Hall | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| William Macdonald | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.