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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+7.14vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+7.08vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.52+7.76vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.89vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.99vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.19+1.57vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+2.88vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.52+2.38vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.47vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.73-0.16vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.95-2.26vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.27-0.06vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.55-6.92vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.36-7.34vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.82-5.92vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.05-3.45vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.36-5.71vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.43-7.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.0%1st Place
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10.76Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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10.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.57Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.88College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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10.38Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Naval Academy3.740.0%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.74Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.94Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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6.08Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.66Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.08Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.55SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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10.66Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| Will Holz | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% |
| Mary Hall | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| William Macdonald | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Nathan Allman | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.3% |
| Graham Landy | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.7% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% |
| Nick Valente | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 19.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.