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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+6.23vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+9.46vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.36vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+5.91vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.05+7.39vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52+4.57vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82+2.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.59vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-1.14vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-0.80vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.64-0.74vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.55-5.46vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.73-3.44vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.52-3.75vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.43-4.04vs Predicted
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16Stanford University4.19-8.26vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.36-5.60vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.95-9.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.91College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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12.39SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.57Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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9.21Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Naval Academy3.740.0%1st Place
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7.86Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.26Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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6.54Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.25Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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10.96Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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7.74Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.4University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.53Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% |
| Nick Valente | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 20.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Mary Hall | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Raul Rios | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
| Graham Landy | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Will Holz | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
| Marek Zaleski | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% |
| William Macdonald | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.