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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+8.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+10.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+7.23vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+6.80vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+3.52vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.08+1.09vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79+1.32vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.79vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.88-1.09vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+0.72vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.70-2.16vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.89-3.79vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.11-1.80vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.25-3.65vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.67-6.27vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.92-8.18vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.51-7.27vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.04-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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10.23Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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10.8Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.09Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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7.91Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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8.84Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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11.2Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.35SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.73Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.82Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.73Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Bates | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 14.9% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| Michael Popp | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% |
| Charles Rees | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% |
| Augie Dale | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| William Bailey | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% |
| Alex Post | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.