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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+8.75vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+9.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.15vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.89+3.80vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+3.79vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+1.76vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11+4.27vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.75vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.41+0.92vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.97vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.73-2.31vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.08-4.53vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-4.86vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-3.85vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.88-7.14vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-3.95vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.18-5.90vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.70-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.75Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.8College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.79Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.27Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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10.97SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.47Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.14Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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12.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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11.1Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.52Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Charles Rees | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Augie Dale | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| William Bailey | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% |
| Michael Popp | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 16.8% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% |
| Antoine Screve | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.