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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+10.48vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+5.24vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04+8.88vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.80+4.20vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+3.79vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+1.99vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.51+2.53vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.41+1.85vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+1.54vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.79-1.40vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.25-0.20vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.73-2.94vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.18-2.19vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.89-6.37vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.17vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.98vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-4.88vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.92-10.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.48Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.24Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.2Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.79Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.99Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.53Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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10.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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8.6Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.8SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.06Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.81Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.63College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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7.62Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 14.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 13.5% |
| Hans Henken | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% |
| Augie Dale | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Alex Post | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Jacob La Dow | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% |
| Charles Rees | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Michael Popp | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 16.3% |
| William Bailey | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.