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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.75vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.47+4.79vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.31+4.08vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+5.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.03+4.60vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+2.27vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.90-1.18vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.66-0.07vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.81-5.53vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.36+2.78vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-3.54vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.64-4.47vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.54+1.17vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-3.21vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.87-2.47vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis0.07-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Stanford University2.8933.6%1st Place
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6.79San Diego State University1.476.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Hawaii1.315.8%1st Place
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9.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.913.2%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Berkeley0.986.6%1st Place
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5.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.3511.2%1st Place
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11.6University of California at San Diego0.032.1%1st Place
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10.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.351.8%1st Place
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7.82University of Southern California0.904.8%1st Place
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9.93Arizona State University0.663.0%1st Place
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5.47Western Washington University1.8110.1%1st Place
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14.78University of California at Irvine-0.360.7%1st Place
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9.46California Poly Maritime Academy0.533.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Washington0.643.5%1st Place
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16.17California State University Channel Islands-1.540.2%1st Place
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12.79University of California at Los Angeles-0.341.2%1st Place
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14.53University of California at San Diego-0.870.8%1st Place
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10.49University of California at Davis0.072.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 33.6% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Will Cornell | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Leif Hauge | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 23.2% | 21.6% |
| Sam Jennings | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Brent Lin | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 19.2% | 47.2% |
| Rigel Mummers | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 7.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 22.3% | 18.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.