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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+8.29vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+6.16vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+5.63vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+5.13vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+3.62vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.08+1.19vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11+4.37vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.92-0.23vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.41+1.02vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.25+1.05vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.88-2.82vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.66vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.80-4.82vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.51-4.66vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.67-6.12vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-3.89vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.92-4.73vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.04-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.16College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.63Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.19Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.37Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.77Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.02Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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11.05SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.18Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.18Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.34Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.88Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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12.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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12.27Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Charles Rees | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| William Bailey | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% |
| Hans Henken | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Alex Post | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Augie Dale | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 16.3% |
| William Hawk | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 17.8% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.