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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+7.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+10.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89+5.19vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+3.11vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+3.84vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.04+5.66vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.93vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79+0.34vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+0.21vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.80-1.34vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.25-0.11vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.88-3.63vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.12vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.41-4.32vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.11-3.66vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.73-7.21vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.51-7.25vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.92-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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8.19College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.11Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.84Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.66Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.89SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.37Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.68Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.34Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.79Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.75Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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11.94Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Bates | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 17.2% |
| Charles Rees | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Augie Dale | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Hans Henken | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| Alex Post | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| William Hawk | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.