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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+7.98vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+9.58vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.98+9.04vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.79vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+2.03vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+3.14vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88+0.86vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.47+1.59vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04+2.55vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.89-1.92vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.92-3.15vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.80-3.36vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-4.84vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.56vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.18-4.14vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-4.00vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.25-6.24vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.41-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.58Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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12.04Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.03Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.59Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.85Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.64Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.86Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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10.76SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Connor Godfrey | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.7% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 14.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.7% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Sean Golden | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% |
| Charles Rees | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| William Bailey | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Hans Henken | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 15.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.