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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.25+9.77vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+5.25vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+5.18vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.80+4.17vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.98+6.62vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.11+5.35vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.51+2.55vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.89-0.24vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.65-0.13vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18+1.23vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.92-3.04vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.81vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.04-1.60vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-2.38vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.79-6.78vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-6.78vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.67-8.05vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-9.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.77SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.25Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.18Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.17Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.62Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.35Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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9.55Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.76College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.87Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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11.23Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.96Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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8.22Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.0%1st Place
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8.95Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hill | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Hans Henken | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 13.7% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.6% |
| Alex Post | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Charles Rees | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% |
| Duncan Swain | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% |
| William Bailey | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Michael Popp | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.7% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Chase Quinn | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% |
| Augie Dale | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.