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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+7.01vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+7.36vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89+5.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+3.80vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.51+4.43vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+4.96vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.08+0.01vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79+0.26vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.65-0.14vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.80-1.46vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.97vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.79vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.67-4.34vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.98-2.55vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.11-3.76vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-3.99vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.25-6.23vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.04-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.0%1st Place
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8.07College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.8Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.43Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.96Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.01Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.26Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.86Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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8.54Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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8.66Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.45Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.24Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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12.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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10.77SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Chase Quinn | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Charles Rees | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Alex Post | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Hans Henken | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Michael Popp | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
| Augie Dale | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 15.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.