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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+8.07vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+8.03vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+4.91vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+4.21vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.18+5.82vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+6.40vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+2.07vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.98+3.64vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.08-2.06vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-0.91vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.65-1.93vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.89-3.76vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-5.23vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.25-3.75vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.80-6.84vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-4.36vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.51-7.37vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.11-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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7.91Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.82Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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11.64Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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6.94Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.09Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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8.24College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.77Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.25SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.16Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.64University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.63Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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11.06Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Michael Popp | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% |
| William Bailey | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 18.1% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 14.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Augie Dale | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Duncan Swain | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% |
| Charles Rees | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% |
| Hans Henken | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% |
| Alex Post | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.