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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+6.33vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+5.91vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.80+5.48vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65+4.77vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.18+5.77vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+2.29vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.67+1.76vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.98+3.63vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.16vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.11+1.48vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-1.70vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.25-1.01vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.89-5.29vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.88-6.39vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.29vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-3.51vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-5.34vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.51-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.91Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.48Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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10.77Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.76Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.63Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.48Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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9.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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10.99SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.71College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.61Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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12.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.26Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| William Bailey | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Hans Henken | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Augie Dale | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 12.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% |
| Charles Rees | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Michael Popp | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 19.1% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 13.6% |
| Alex Post | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.