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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+6.25vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.29+8.64vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04+8.71vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.92+3.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.44+4.63vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.65+2.77vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.98+4.68vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-0.18vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.80-0.86vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-0.65vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.18-0.04vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.64vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-4.89vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.67-5.64vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.89-7.23vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-7.09vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.11-5.69vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.25-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.64Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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7.62Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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11.68Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.82Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.14Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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10.96Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.36Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.77College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.31Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.35SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| AJ Reiter | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% |
| William Bailey | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Michael Popp | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Hans Henken | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 21.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Augie Dale | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Charles Rees | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.