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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+10.82vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+7.05vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+4.20vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04+7.33vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+4.02vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.11+5.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+5.33vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.67+0.63vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.25+1.60vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.89vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.89-3.08vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.79-3.31vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.29-2.79vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.80-6.11vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.88-7.25vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.44-6.16vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.18-6.02vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.92-10.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.82Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.2Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.33University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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11.2Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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12.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.63Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.6SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.92College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.21Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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7.89Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.75Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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10.98Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.45Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.4% |
| Duncan Swain | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.8% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 16.4% |
| Augie Dale | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Charles Rees | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% |
| Hans Henken | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Michael Popp | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| William Bailey | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.