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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+6.18vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+5.76vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89+4.88vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04+7.21vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.29+5.21vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.98+5.63vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.80+1.09vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.64vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.88-1.38vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18+0.98vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.65-2.08vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-2.02vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.11-2.08vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.25-3.90vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.79vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-7.01vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.20-6.21vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.79-10.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.88College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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11.21University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.21Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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11.63Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.09Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.62Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.98Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.92Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.1SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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12.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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10.79Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| William Bailey | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% |
| Charles Rees | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 11.9% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% |
| Hans Henken | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Michael Popp | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 17.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.