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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+11.38vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+5.05vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+4.79vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+4.83vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+2.70vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+4.77vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.89+0.66vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.98+3.49vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.11+2.11vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.65-0.99vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.20-0.24vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.04-0.25vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.44-3.60vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.80-6.24vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.29-4.73vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-7.23vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.79-8.75vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.25-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.05Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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7.7Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.77Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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11.49Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.11Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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10.76Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.76Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.27Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.26SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Neubelt | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 18.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| William Bailey | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% |
| Charles Rees | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 13.6% |
| Michael Popp | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% |
| Hans Henken | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| AJ Reiter | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.