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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+0.53vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.97+0.58vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.87-0.32vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.97-1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.09-0.48vs Predicted
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7American University-1.03-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Hampton University2.260.6%1st Place
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2.58Virginia Tech0.970.2%1st Place
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2.68William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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2.58Virginia Tech0.970.2%1st Place
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4.08University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Pittsburgh-2.090.0%1st Place
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4.61American University-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 61.0% | 27.0% | 10.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Black | 18.4% | 30.8% | 30.4% | 15.5% | 4.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 15.5% | 28.1% | 35.4% | 15.3% | 5.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Black | 18.4% | 30.8% | 30.4% | 15.5% | 4.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 3.1% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 36.0% | 31.2% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cefalu | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 71.6% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 1.5% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 23.8% | 43.1% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.