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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+1.61vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26-0.48vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.97-0.39vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.87-1.34vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-0.95vs Predicted
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6American University-1.03-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.09-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Virginia Tech0.970.2%1st Place
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1.52Hampton University2.260.6%1st Place
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2.61Virginia Tech0.970.2%1st Place
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2.66William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.65American University-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Pittsburgh-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Black | 17.0% | 29.7% | 33.9% | 14.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 61.5% | 27.3% | 9.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Black | 17.0% | 29.7% | 33.9% | 14.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 15.9% | 29.4% | 32.6% | 17.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 3.6% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 36.2% | 29.9% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 1.5% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 22.8% | 40.8% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cefalu | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 6.8% | 21.7% | 67.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.