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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+1.63vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.87+0.67vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26-1.51vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.97-1.37vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.09-0.47vs Predicted
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7American University-1.03-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Virginia Tech0.970.2%1st Place
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2.67William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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1.49Hampton University2.260.6%1st Place
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2.63Virginia Tech0.970.2%1st Place
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4.08University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Pittsburgh-2.090.0%1st Place
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4.61American University-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Black | 15.1% | 31.3% | 33.9% | 15.0% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 15.4% | 30.8% | 31.1% | 17.4% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 63.9% | 25.3% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Black | 15.1% | 31.3% | 33.9% | 15.0% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 3.4% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 34.7% | 31.8% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cefalu | 0.3% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 16.1% | 71.6% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 1.9% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 23.8% | 42.9% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.