← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech0.97+1.62vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech0.97+0.62vs Predicted
-
3William and Mary0.87-0.31vs Predicted
-
4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+0.02vs Predicted
-
5American University-1.03-0.41vs Predicted
-
6University of Pittsburgh-2.09-0.46vs Predicted
-
8Hampton University2.26-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.62Virginia Tech0.970.2%1st Place
-
2.62Virginia Tech0.970.2%1st Place
-
2.69William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
-
4.02University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
-
4.59American University-1.030.0%1st Place
-
5.54University of Pittsburgh-2.090.0%1st Place
-
1.55Hampton University2.260.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Black | 15.6% | 31.5% | 32.8% | 15.9% | 3.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Black | 15.6% | 31.5% | 32.8% | 15.9% | 3.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 17.4% | 27.3% | 30.5% | 19.4% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 4.9% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 33.8% | 32.3% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 1.9% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 22.5% | 42.6% | 19.8% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cefalu | 0.5% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 16.6% | 71.9% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 59.7% | 27.7% | 10.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.