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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+1.65vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.87+0.67vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26-1.51vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.97-1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-0.95vs Predicted
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6American University-1.03-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.09-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Virginia Tech0.970.1%1st Place
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2.67William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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1.49Hampton University2.260.6%1st Place
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2.65Virginia Tech0.970.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.64American University-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Pittsburgh-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Black | 14.8% | 31.4% | 33.4% | 16.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 15.2% | 31.1% | 31.8% | 16.1% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 64.1% | 24.4% | 9.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Black | 14.8% | 31.4% | 33.4% | 16.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 3.4% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 37.1% | 29.3% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 1.9% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 22.9% | 40.4% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cefalu | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 6.4% | 21.7% | 67.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.