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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+0.53vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.97+0.58vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.87-0.33vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.97-1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-0.95vs Predicted
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6American University-1.03-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.09-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Hampton University2.260.6%1st Place
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2.58Virginia Tech0.970.2%1st Place
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2.67William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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2.58Virginia Tech0.970.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.65American University-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Pittsburgh-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 60.8% | 27.4% | 10.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Black | 18.3% | 29.9% | 32.6% | 14.1% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 15.5% | 28.4% | 34.2% | 18.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Black | 18.3% | 29.9% | 32.6% | 14.1% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 3.1% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 36.4% | 29.9% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 1.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 23.4% | 40.7% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cefalu | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 6.6% | 21.6% | 67.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.