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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+0.53vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.87+0.68vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.97-0.41vs Predicted
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4American University-1.03+0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-2.09+0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-2.92vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.97-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Hampton University2.260.6%1st Place
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2.68William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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2.59Virginia Tech0.970.2%1st Place
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4.6American University-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Pittsburgh-2.090.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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2.59Virginia Tech0.970.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 61.0% | 26.6% | 10.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 16.9% | 27.9% | 31.8% | 18.1% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Black | 16.7% | 30.3% | 34.0% | 15.3% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 1.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 21.2% | 44.4% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cefalu | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 7.6% | 16.2% | 71.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 3.7% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 36.3% | 31.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Black | 16.7% | 30.3% | 34.0% | 15.3% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.