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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University0.10+2.31vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.34+0.99vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.67+1.68vs Predicted
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4Ohio University0.13-0.59vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.43-0.70vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.25-0.46vs Predicted
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7Denison University-0.21-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Miami University0.100.2%1st Place
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2.99Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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4.68Ohio State University-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.41Ohio University0.130.2%1st Place
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4.3Ohio University-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.54Ohio State University-1.250.0%1st Place
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3.78Denison University-0.210.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Burson | 20.6% | 19.7% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 5.6% |
| Ryan Mabie | 24.0% | 21.0% | 21.0% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Lenzo | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 22.5% | 20.1% |
| Abby Freeman | 18.8% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
| Taylor Sackett | 8.6% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 13.9% |
| Luke LeCoche | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 45.4% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 15.3% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.