← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Michigan University-1.40+2.72vs Predicted
-
2Denison University-1.90+2.46vs Predicted
-
3Miami University0.43-1.42vs Predicted
-
4Ohio University-1.47-0.06vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-1.99-0.31vs Predicted
-
6Ohio University-1.21-2.48vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University-3.25-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.72Western Michigan University-1.400.1%1st Place
-
4.46Denison University-1.900.1%1st Place
-
1.58Miami University0.430.6%1st Place
-
3.94Ohio University-1.470.1%1st Place
-
4.69Ohio State University-1.990.0%1st Place
-
3.52Ohio University-1.210.1%1st Place
-
6.1Ohio State University-3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Moore | 10.2% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 5.5% |
| William Griswold | 5.5% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 20.6% | 21.9% | 10.5% |
| Otto Wenzler | 59.8% | 27.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Atkins | 8.0% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 20.3% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 5.0% |
| Anatoliy Kryvenko | 4.2% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 19.7% | 26.1% | 12.9% |
| Rob Berry | 10.3% | 19.4% | 22.8% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 3.0% |
| Maxwell Maguire | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 14.4% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.