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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.34+1.96vs Predicted
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2Denison University-0.21+1.90vs Predicted
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3Miami University0.10+0.39vs Predicted
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4Ohio University0.13-0.64vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.25+0.58vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.67-1.31vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.43-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Western Michigan University0.340.3%1st Place
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3.9Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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3.39Miami University0.100.2%1st Place
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3.36Ohio University0.130.2%1st Place
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5.58Ohio State University-1.250.0%1st Place
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4.69Ohio State University-0.670.1%1st Place
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4.11Ohio University-0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mabie | 25.4% | 22.4% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 12.4% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 8.8% |
| Max Burson | 18.1% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 20.1% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 4.5% |
| Luke LeCoche | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 17.7% | 47.1% |
| Andrew Lenzo | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 21.5% |
| Taylor Sackett | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.