← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Michigan University0.34+1.95vs Predicted
-
2Ohio University-0.43+2.25vs Predicted
-
3Denison University-0.21+0.89vs Predicted
-
4Ohio State University-1.25+1.58vs Predicted
-
5Ohio University0.13-1.60vs Predicted
-
6Miami University0.10-2.60vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University-0.67-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.95Western Michigan University0.340.3%1st Place
-
4.25Ohio University-0.430.1%1st Place
-
3.89Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
-
5.58Ohio State University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
3.4Ohio University0.130.2%1st Place
-
3.4Miami University0.100.2%1st Place
-
4.53Ohio State University-0.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mabie | 26.2% | 20.2% | 19.1% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Taylor Sackett | 10.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 13.3% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 12.6% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 9.0% |
| Luke LeCoche | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 46.1% |
| Abby Freeman | 17.2% | 19.7% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
| Max Burson | 19.7% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Lenzo | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 21.2% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.