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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.34+1.98vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.10+1.32vs Predicted
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3Ohio University-0.43+1.28vs Predicted
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4Ohio University0.13-0.63vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.21-1.06vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.25-0.44vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.67-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Western Michigan University0.340.3%1st Place
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3.32Miami University0.100.2%1st Place
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4.28Ohio University-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.37Ohio University0.130.2%1st Place
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3.94Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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5.56Ohio State University-1.250.0%1st Place
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4.56Ohio State University-0.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mabie | 26.6% | 20.8% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Max Burson | 17.2% | 22.4% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 4.6% |
| Taylor Sackett | 11.1% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 13.9% |
| Abby Freeman | 19.4% | 16.8% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 4.4% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 11.4% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 9.9% |
| Luke LeCoche | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 45.8% |
| Andrew Lenzo | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 22.4% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.