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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.67+3.60vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.10+1.36vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.34+0.03vs Predicted
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4Ohio University0.13-0.61vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.21-1.07vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-0.43-1.75vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.25-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Ohio State University-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.36Miami University0.100.2%1st Place
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3.03Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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3.39Ohio University0.130.2%1st Place
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3.93Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.25Ohio University-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.44Ohio State University-1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Lenzo | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 21.8% | 19.9% |
| Max Burson | 19.3% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
| Ryan Mabie | 23.6% | 20.3% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Abby Freeman | 19.8% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 4.7% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 11.4% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 9.2% |
| Taylor Sackett | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 13.9% |
| Luke LeCoche | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 19.1% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.