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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University0.10+2.34vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.34+1.01vs Predicted
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3Ohio University0.13+0.35vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.21-0.07vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.67-0.29vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-0.43-1.74vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.25-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Miami University0.100.2%1st Place
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3.01Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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3.35Ohio University0.130.2%1st Place
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3.93Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.71Ohio State University-0.670.1%1st Place
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4.26Ohio University-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.41Ohio State University-1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Burson | 19.8% | 19.6% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Mabie | 23.4% | 21.7% | 18.7% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Abby Freeman | 19.0% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 13.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 8.6% |
| Andrew Lenzo | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 21.5% |
| Taylor Sackett | 11.4% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 13.8% |
| Luke LeCoche | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 18.7% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.