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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.39+2.81vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.70+3.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.46+0.72vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.47-0.42vs Predicted
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5Boston College0.05+2.30vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.36+0.23vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College-0.42+1.73vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.04-0.19vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.22-0.85vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.45-0.97vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62+0.75vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.73+0.18vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-1.01-2.69vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College-0.25-5.80vs Predicted
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15Bates College-2.67-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Bowdoin College1.3919.5%1st Place
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5.55Northeastern University0.708.7%1st Place
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3.72Dartmouth College1.4618.9%1st Place
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3.58Bowdoin College1.4721.1%1st Place
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7.3Boston College0.055.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Vermont0.367.1%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College-0.423.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston University-0.043.8%1st Place
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8.15Boston University-0.222.8%1st Place
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9.03Bentley University-0.452.6%1st Place
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11.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.9%1st Place
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12.18University of New Hampshire-1.730.5%1st Place
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10.31Maine Maritime Academy-1.012.0%1st Place
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8.2Bowdoin College-0.253.5%1st Place
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13.64Bates College-2.670.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Keenan | 19.5% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harry Bryan | 18.9% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ladd | 21.1% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marco Welch | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brooklyn Verplank | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Graham Welsh | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Harrison Stevens | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| John O'Connell | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 24.1% | 15.2% |
| Peter Huntley-Robertson | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 26.7% | 18.7% |
| Joshua Herlihy | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 4.7% |
| Owen Warren | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Logan Ray | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 16.8% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.