Race 9A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Rush 46.4% 27.1% 13.1% 6.9% 4.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Donahue 10.7% 12.4% 17.5% 17.6% 12.9% 13.4% 8.0% 5.2% 2.3% 0.0%
Jon Beery 7.1% 10.9% 11.3% 12.0% 14.4% 16.8% 15.6% 7.5% 3.8% 0.6%
Christopher Hulse 2.0% 3.6% 4.3% 7.0% 9.3% 11.2% 15.8% 21.1% 16.6% 9.1%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 14.2% 18.7% 19.4% 17.2% 13.5% 8.4% 5.2% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Alexandra Arntsen 10.2% 13.9% 13.7% 15.6% 15.7% 11.7% 10.4% 6.7% 1.9% 0.2%
Ryan Byrne 5.1% 7.6% 11.5% 12.6% 14.3% 18.4% 13.0% 10.7% 5.8% 1.0%
Tom Charpentier 2.3% 3.4% 5.8% 6.1% 8.7% 9.6% 16.2% 20.9% 17.0% 10.0%
John Fonte 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 2.5% 3.6% 4.5% 8.1% 13.3% 27.8% 36.1%
Natalie Fohl 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 2.5% 3.6% 3.9% 7.3% 11.7% 24.4% 42.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.