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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.64+4.00vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13+1.65vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.09+2.57vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.55+2.15vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.05+0.70vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University0.19+3.20vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.88-0.63vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-0.31vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.54-1.21vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-1.40+3.50vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.39+0.89vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.19-2.66vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.74-6.46vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.12vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-1.67vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.13-2.30vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.84-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Stanford University1.6412.6%1st Place
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3.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1321.4%1st Place
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4.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.4414.9%1st Place
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6.57University of Southern California1.098.3%1st Place
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7.15University of Washington-2.556.5%1st Place
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6.7University of Hawaii1.057.6%1st Place
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10.2San Diego State University0.192.4%1st Place
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7.37California Poly Maritime Academy0.885.0%1st Place
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8.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.823.9%1st Place
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8.79Western Washington University0.543.5%1st Place
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14.5California State University Channel Islands-1.400.5%1st Place
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12.89Arizona State University-0.391.3%1st Place
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10.34University of California at Davis-0.192.6%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Berkeley0.747.2%1st Place
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14.88University of California at San Diego-1.410.6%1st Place
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14.33University of California at Los Angeles-2.100.7%1st Place
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14.7University of California at San Diego-1.130.4%1st Place
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13.25University of California at Irvine-0.840.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whidden | 12.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 21.4% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 14.9% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Conze | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Gormely | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Owen Cuyler | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 20.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 7.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Olsen | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 24.7% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 18.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 21.2% |
| Brayden Money | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.