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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University0.10+2.33vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.67+2.66vs Predicted
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3Ohio University-0.43+1.26vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.21-0.05vs Predicted
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5Ohio University0.13-1.62vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.25-0.47vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.34-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Miami University0.100.2%1st Place
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4.66Ohio State University-0.670.1%1st Place
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4.26Ohio University-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.95Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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3.38Ohio University0.130.2%1st Place
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5.53Ohio State University-1.250.0%1st Place
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2.89Western Michigan University0.340.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Burson | 19.6% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 5.3% |
| Andrew Lenzo | 8.1% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 20.4% | 20.4% |
| Taylor Sackett | 10.7% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 12.9% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 12.7% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 9.2% |
| Abby Freeman | 17.8% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 4.6% |
| Luke LeCoche | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 45.3% |
| Ryan Mabie | 26.7% | 21.3% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.